4
Mo's Glitter
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 84
Colonial Downs · Race 8 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-10-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-09-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 14
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 11/10/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.65 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |