1

Sohandsometome

3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 82

Colonial Downs · Race 8 - Allowance · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

35%

Place Prob

30%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 10/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 5f110y 11910/09C6C9 @ Colonial Downs 23/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 74 · 5f110y 119 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 74 par23/07C9OR 74projClass-projected finish: 11th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Colonial Downs?1st5th4
2025-09-10Colonial Downs?5th6th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0923/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/09/20255th25/10%20%+0.20
23/07/20261st11/271%100%+0.29