9

Beekman Street

3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 91

Colonial Downs · Race 9 - Claiming · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength69%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 07/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS7/08C6C6 @ Colonial Downs 29/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 76 · 1m Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/08/2025 · OR 76 parC6 @ Delaware Park 11/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 73 · 7f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/10/2025 · OR 73 par11/10C6OR 73C6 @ Fair Grounds 27/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 78 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/11/2025 · OR 78 parC6 @ Fair Grounds 22/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 88 · 1m Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/01/2026 · OR 88 par22/01C6OR 88C5 @ Fair Grounds 28/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 94 · 1m110y Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/02/2026 · OR 94 parC5 @ Laurel Park 19/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fm 114 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 93 par19/04C5OR 93C7 @ Laurel Park 10/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 94 · 1m110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 94 parC5 @ Laurel Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 94 · 1m Fm 116 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 94 par12/06C5OR 94projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-12Laurel Park?6th3rd+3
2026-05-10Laurel Park?5th4th+1
2026-04-19Laurel Park?10th7th+3
2026-02-28Fair Grounds?7th3rd+3
2026-01-22Fair Grounds?4th2nd+2
2025-11-27Fair Grounds?1st-1th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0827/1119/0412/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 14
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength42%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/08/20254th7/282%57%-0.24
29/08/20253rd9/276%80%+0.04
11/10/20255th13/891%43%-0.49
27/11/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
22/01/20264th7/282%50%-0.32
28/02/20267th10/147%0%-0.47
19/04/202610th20/10%18%+0.18
10/05/20265th9/153%50%-0.03
12/06/20266th7/163%17%-0.46