3

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5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 79

Colonial Downs · Race 9 - Claiming · 1m

#12

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Laurel Park 23/06/2024 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 65 · 5f110y Fm 119 · below its mark23/06/2024 · OR 65 par23/06C9OR 65C9 @ Colonial Downs 26/07/2024 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 69 · 5f110y Fm 119 · below its mark26/07/2024 · OR 69 parC9 @ Colonial Downs 17/08/2024 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 75 · 5f110y Fm 120 · beat its mark17/08/2024 · OR 75 par17/08C9OR 75C8 @ Colonial Downs 05/09/2024 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 75 · 5f110y Fm 120 · below its mark05/09/2024 · OR 75 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 19/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 78 · 5f110y Gd 122 · below its mark19/07/2025 · OR 78 par19/07C8OR 78C8 @ Colonial Downs 14/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 77 · 5f110y Fm 122 · below its mark14/08/2025 · OR 77 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 30/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 76 · 5f 122 · below its mark30/08/2025 · OR 76 par30/08C8OR 76C8 @ Colonial Downs 11/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 76 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark11/09/2025 · OR 76 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 18/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 78 · 5f Fm 122 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 78 par18/07C8OR 78projClass-projected finish: 6th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Colonial Downs?5th5th0
2025-09-11Colonial Downs?5th5th0
2025-08-30Colonial Downs?3rd3rd0
2025-08-14Colonial Downs?2nd2nd0
2025-07-19Colonial Downs?4th4th0
2024-09-05Colonial Downs?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/065/0930/0818/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 14
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength50%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/06/20243rd13/266%78%+0.12
26/07/20243rd3/184%71%-0.13
17/08/20241st4/179%100%+0.21
05/09/20249th12/137%11%-0.26
19/07/20254th9/153%73%+0.20
14/08/20252nd9/276%88%+0.11
30/08/20253rd15/890%75%-0.15
11/09/20255th9/153%56%+0.03
18/07/20265th8/158%43%-0.15