6
Starship Magellan
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 69
Colonial Downs · Race 9 - Claiming · 1m
#14
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength20%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 20/02/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/03/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 01/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 11/04/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 30/04/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 25/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 22/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |