Invincible Molly
5yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 104
Del Mar · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
85%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-01-18 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-11-23 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 63% | -0.26 |
| 27/07/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 28/09/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 23/11/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 90% | +0.64 |
| 18/01/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 14/02/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 17/04/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |