Lady Rider
4yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 103
Del Mar · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 2.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Turf Paradise | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-01-10 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 26/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 19/10/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 10/01/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 28/02/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 02/04/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 30/04/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 90% | +0.02 |