6

Long Mayshe Reign

6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 101

Del Mar · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength57%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Santa Anita 27/12/2024 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 95 · 6f Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/12/2024 · OR 95 par27/12C7OR 95C7 @ Santa Anita 20/01/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 97 · 6f Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/01/2025 · OR 97 parC7 @ Santa Anita 16/02/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 98 · 6f Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/02/2025 · OR 98 par16/02C7OR 98C6 @ Santa Anita 03/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 98 · 6f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/03/2025 · OR 98 parC5 @ Santa Anita 23/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 101 · 6f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/02/2026 · OR 101 par23/02C5OR 101C8 @ Santa Anita 17/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 97 · 6f 124 · below its mark17/04/2026 · OR 97 parC6 @ Santa Anita 23/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 95 · 6f110y Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 95 par23/05C6OR 95C7 @ Santa Anita 13/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 94 · 6f Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 94 parC6 @ Del Mar 18/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 98 · 5f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 98 par18/07C6OR 98projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Del Mar?1st-1th+2
2026-06-13Santa Anita?1st0th+1
2026-05-23Santa Anita?7th5th+2
2026-04-17Santa Anita?5th5th0
2026-02-23Santa Anita?6th3rd+3
2025-03-03Santa Anita?2nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/123/0323/0518/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength77%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/12/20241st3/184%100%+0.16
20/01/20252nd11/893%83%-0.09
16/02/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
03/03/20252nd1/195%86%-0.09
23/02/20266th4/179%44%-0.35
17/04/20265th3/184%43%-0.41
23/05/20267th6/168%33%-0.35
13/06/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
18/07/20261st4/179%100%+0.21