
Long Mayshe Reign
6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 101
Del Mar · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-06-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-03-03 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2024 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 20/01/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 16/02/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 03/03/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 86% | -0.09 |
| 23/02/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 44% | -0.35 |
| 17/04/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |