Danzig Til Dawn
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 65
Del Mar · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Santa Anita | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-02-07 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-01-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-03-29 | Santa Anita | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/2024 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 01/01/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 31/01/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 29/03/2025 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 08/01/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 07/02/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 06/03/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |