5
Free And Humble
6yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 107
Del Mar · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength70%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 04/04/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 10/05/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 17/05/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 13/06/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 30/04/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |