Love Our Family
6yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 89
Del Mar · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
94%
Place Prob
77%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-04-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 07/02/2025 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 15/03/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/04/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 14/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/11 | 98% | 80% | -0.18 |
| 14/03/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |