1
Makenarita
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 81
Del Mar · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-01-09 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-11-24 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength98%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 11/08/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 06/09/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 09/01/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 08/02/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 08/03/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |