1
Genuine Grace
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 81
Del Mar · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-05-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-03-23 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength66%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 23/02/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 23/03/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 17/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 17/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |