7
Hayley Amber
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 78
Del Mar · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
| 2024-05-03 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-04-06 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2023-08-12 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2023-07-08 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2023 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 12/08/2023 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 06/04/2024 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 03/05/2024 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 21/06/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 30% | -0.44 |
| 26/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |