6

Native Empress

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 79

Del Mar · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

93%

Place Prob

67%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Emerald Downs 26/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f 11926/07C6C6 @ Emerald Downs 17/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 50 · 5f110y Fas 121 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 50 par17/05C6OR 50C6 @ Emerald Downs 06/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 66 · 5f110y 121 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 66 par6/06C6OR 66projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-06Emerald Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-05-17Emerald Downs?2nd2nd0
2025-07-26Emerald Downs?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0717/056/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/07/20256th10/382%29%-0.54
17/05/20262nd11/486%86%+0.00
06/06/20262nd6/168%88%+0.19