3

Bazooka Charlie

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 92

Del Mar · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength33%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Del Mar 23/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 81 · 6f 121 · below its mark23/08/2025 · OR 81 par23/08C9OR 81C9 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 13/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 85 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark13/09/2025 · OR 85 parC9 @ Santa Anita 13/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 84 · 5f110y Fas 122 · beat its mark13/10/2025 · OR 84 par13/10C9OR 84C6 @ Santa Anita 26/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 88 · 1m Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/10/2025 · OR 88 parC8 @ Del Mar 16/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 89 · 6f110y 120 · below its mark16/11/2025 · OR 89 par16/11C8OR 89C8 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 07/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 89 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark07/12/2025 · OR 89 parC8 @ Santa Anita 11/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 89 · 6f110y Fas 124 · below its mark11/01/2026 · OR 89 par11/01C8OR 89C8 @ Santa Anita 01/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 94 · 6f Fm 124 · below its mark01/02/2026 · OR 94 parC7 @ Santa Anita 14/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 91 · 6f Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 91 par14/06C7OR 91projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-14Santa Anita?6th5th+1
2026-02-01Santa Anita?3rd3rd0
2026-01-11Santa Anita?2nd2nd0
2025-12-07Los Alamitos Racecourse?5th5th0
2025-11-16Del Mar?4th4th0
2025-10-26Santa Anita?6th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0826/1011/0114/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength25%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/20253rd5/287%78%-0.09
13/09/20252nd1/195%83%-0.11
13/10/20251st3/1098%100%+0.02
26/10/20256th14/126%17%-0.10
16/11/20254th20/10%50%+0.50
07/12/20255th3/184%33%-0.51
11/01/20262nd15/261%88%+0.27
01/02/20263rd9/488%60%-0.28
14/06/20266th9/153%0%-0.53