Marcos Performance
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 95
Del Mar · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
40%
Place Prob
44%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-11-16 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-08-01 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 21/09/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 18/10/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 16/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 09/01/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |