5
Opus Uno
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 89
Del Mar · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
60%
Place Prob
54%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength49%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-11-02 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-10-18 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-09-05 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-06-01 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 05/09/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 21/09/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 18/10/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 02/11/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 03/01/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |