2

I Know Nothing

2yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 73

Del Mar · Race 6 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Churchill Downs 10/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 4f110y 11910/05C9C6 @ Churchill Downs 11/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 72 · 5f110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 72 par11/06C6OR 72projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-11Churchill Downs?4th3rd+1
2026-05-10Churchill Downs?2nd4th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0511/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength73%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/05/20262nd11/271%86%+0.15
11/06/20264th14/126%57%+0.31