Pro Payne

2yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 68

Del Mar · Race 6 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▬

Strength33%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.0

Today:

Class gap: +0.5

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-07-18	Del Mar	?	6th	5th	+1	4.6
2026-06-11	Santa Anita	?	5th	4th	+1	5.6

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 10

▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price

Trend▲

Strength100%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
11/06/2026	5th	4/1	79%	33%	-0.46
18/07/2026	6th	25/1	0%	38%	+0.38