4

Enough Already

7yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 85

Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#1

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

97%

Place Prob

73%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength2%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turfway Park 21/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 84 · 1m 121 · below its mark21/12/2025 · OR 84 par21/12C8OR 84C8 @ Turfway Park 09/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 84 · 1m 121 · beat its mark09/01/2026 · OR 84 parC8 @ Laurel Park 28/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 79 · 1m 126 · below its mark28/02/2026 · OR 79 par28/02C8OR 79C8 @ Laurel Park 21/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 77 · 1m110y 126 · below its mark21/03/2026 · OR 77 parC8 @ Laurel Park 11/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 77 · 1m 126 · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 77 par11/04C8OR 77C8 @ Delaware Park 16/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 76 · 1m Fas 122 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 76 parC8 @ Delaware Park 30/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 83 · 1m70y 120 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 83 par30/05C8OR 83C8 @ Delaware Park 25/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 84 · 1m70y 124 · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 84 parC8 @ Delaware Park 21/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 82 · 1m 124 · below its mark21/07/2026 · OR 82 par21/07C8OR 82projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-21Delaware Park?5th5th0
2026-06-25Delaware Park?3rd3rd0
2026-05-30Delaware Park?1st1st0
2026-05-16Delaware Park?5th5th0
2026-04-11Laurel Park?9th9th0
2026-03-21Laurel Park?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/1221/0330/0521/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength63%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/12/20259th25/10%20%+0.20
09/01/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
28/02/20264th12/137%50%+0.13
21/03/20262nd11/271%80%+0.09
11/04/20269th9/153%0%-0.53
16/05/20265th16/116%43%+0.27
30/05/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
25/06/20263rd14/126%60%+0.34
21/07/20265th10/147%50%+0.03