3
Starship Mocha
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 72
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-05-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-04-30 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength35%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 21/03/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 06/04/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 30/04/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/05/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 21/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |