2
Strategist
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 79
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength67%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 17/01/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 12/02/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 21/03/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.20 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 21/07/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 13% | -0.48 |