1
Twenty One Kid
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 69
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-04-03 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-01-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-12-28 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2024-11-06 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength22%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2024 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 16/10/2024 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 06/11/2024 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 28/12/2024 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 31/01/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 03/04/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |