2

B D Saints

5yo Horse · 8-9 · OR 74

Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength47%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Aqueduct 14/12/2024 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 104 · 1m Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/12/2024 · OR 104 par14/12C6OR 104C6 @ Aqueduct 16/01/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 103 · 1m1f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/01/2025 · OR 103 parC5 @ Oaklawn Park 25/01/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 104 · 1m110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/01/2025 · OR 104 par25/01C5OR 104C6 @ Oaklawn Park 23/02/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 103 · 1m110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/02/2025 · OR 103 parC6 @ Aqueduct 21/03/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 100 · 1m Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/03/2025 · OR 100 par21/03C6OR 100C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 14/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 97 · 1m1f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/06/2025 · OR 97 parC8 @ Saratoga 11/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 89 · 1m1f 125 · below its mark11/07/2025 · OR 89 par11/07C8OR 89C8 @ Saratoga 03/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 83 · 1m1f 125 · below its mark03/08/2025 · OR 83 parC8 @ Laurel Park 04/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 86 · 1m 122 · below its mark04/04/2026 · OR 86 par4/04C8OR 86projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-04Laurel Park?3rd3rd0
2025-08-03Saratoga?3rd3rd0
2025-07-11Saratoga?4th4th0
2025-06-14Belmont At The Big A?7th5th+2
2025-03-21Aqueduct?7th5th+2
2025-02-23Oaklawn Park?6th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/1223/0211/074/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength33%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/12/20244th9/276%57%-0.19
16/01/20253rd4/179%67%-0.12
25/01/20254th10/147%50%+0.03
23/02/20256th10/147%44%-0.03
21/03/20257th4/179%25%-0.54
14/06/20257th8/158%0%-0.58
11/07/20254th5/287%25%-0.62
03/08/20253rd4/179%60%-0.19
04/04/20263rd3/184%50%-0.34