5
Kick Startness
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 79
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
23%
Place Prob
35%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-05 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-04-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-03-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-02-08 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength66%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2024 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 16/11/2024 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 08/12/2024 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 08/02/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 22/03/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 19/04/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 15/06/2025 | 6th | 13/8 | 91% | 17% | -0.75 |
| 05/07/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 06/08/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |