9

Audibly

5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 91

Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y

#4

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength58%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Penn National 27/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 80 · 1m70y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/08/2025 · OR 80 par27/08C5OR 80C5 @ Laurel Park 28/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 80 · 1m Slo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/09/2025 · OR 80 parC5 @ Laurel Park 31/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 83 · 1m1f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/10/2025 · OR 83 par31/10C5OR 83C5 @ Laurel Park 20/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 85 · 1m1f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/12/2025 · OR 85 parC5 @ Laurel Park 13/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 86 · 1m110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/02/2026 · OR 86 par13/02C5OR 86C5 @ Laurel Park 07/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 3 · OR 84 · 1m1f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/03/2026 · OR 84 parC5 @ Laurel Park 28/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 88 · 1m110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 88 par28/03C5OR 88C7 @ Delaware Park 21/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 89 · 1m 121 · below its mark21/05/2026 · OR 89 parC5 @ Colonial Downs 05/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 88 · 1m1f110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 88 par5/07C5OR 88projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-05Colonial Downs?5th3rd+2
2026-05-21Delaware Park?3rd3rd0
2026-03-28Laurel Park?3rd1st+2
2026-03-07Laurel Park?2nd0th+2
2026-02-13Laurel Park?2nd0th+2
2025-12-20Laurel Park?5th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0820/1228/035/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/08/20252nd9/276%75%-0.01
28/09/20254th10/147%40%-0.07
31/10/20252nd16/116%80%+0.64
20/12/20255th25/10%50%+0.50
13/02/20262nd10/382%75%-0.07
07/03/20262nd15/890%50%-0.40
28/03/20263rd5/174%50%-0.24
21/05/20263rd2/189%50%-0.39
05/07/20265th33/10%0%0.00