Bourbon N Lace
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 87
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#5
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-03-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-02-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-02-15 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 27/12/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 17/01/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 15/02/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 22/02/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 22/03/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 21/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 26/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |