8
Diamond N Dress
3yo Filly · 8-4 · OR 79
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#9
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength61%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength3%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 26/12/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 16/01/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 20/02/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 18/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 10/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 19/07/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |