5

Synergism
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 90
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
87%
Place Prob
68%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-04-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength87%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 28/11/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 28/12/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 02/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 33% | -0.62 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 85% | +0.37 |
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |