2

The Money Monkey

5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 88

Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y

#7

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength45%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Mountaineer 27/11/2024 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 62 · 1m Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/11/2024 · OR 62 par27/11C6OR 62C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 07/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 63 · 7f Fas 122 · beat its mark07/02/2025 · OR 63 parC6 @ Mountaineer 10/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 65 · 1m Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/09/2025 · OR 65 par10/09C6OR 65C9 @ Mountaineer 07/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 60 · 1m 126 · beat its mark07/10/2025 · OR 60 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 03/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 62 · 1m70y Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/02/2026 · OR 62 par3/02C5OR 62C5 @ Mahoning Valley 23/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 64 · 1m Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/03/2026 · OR 64 parC8 @ Laurel Park 02/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 64 · 1m Fm 126 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 64 par2/05C8OR 64C7 @ Delaware Park 03/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 71 · 1m110y Fm 124 · below its mark03/06/2026 · OR 71 parC7 @ Colonial Downs 06/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 80 · 6f Fm 122 · below its mark06/07/2026 · OR 80 par6/07C7OR 80projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-06Colonial Downs?5th5th0
2026-06-03Delaware Park?6th6th0
2026-05-02Laurel Park?1st2nd1
2026-03-23Mahoning Valley?1st-1th+2
2026-02-03Mahoning Valley?5th3rd+2
2025-10-07Mountaineer?1st3rd2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/117/102/056/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength52%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/11/20242nd5/493%75%-0.18
07/02/20252nd5/174%86%+0.12
10/09/20253rd5/287%67%-0.20
07/10/20251st8/1196%100%+0.04
03/02/20265th14/126%43%+0.17
23/03/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
02/05/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
03/06/20266th8/158%44%-0.13
06/07/20265th14/126%43%+0.17