5
Annihilate 'em
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 64
Delaware Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-14 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength82%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 20/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 20/03/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 14/05/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |