Kitty's Son
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 77
Delaware Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-05-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-04-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/05/2026 | 8th | 30/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |