3
Wine Empire
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 87
Delaware Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Turf Paradise | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-13 | Turf Paradise | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-23 | Turf Paradise | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-17 | Turf Paradise | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength66%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 31/05/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 26/06/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 20/09/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 11/10/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 17/11/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 23/12/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 13/01/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 14% | -0.68 |
| 04/03/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |