5

Brikeli

3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 75

Delaware Park · Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f

#5

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Penn National 02/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 5f 1212/06C6C6 @ Colonial Downs 11/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 61 · 5f110y Fm 119 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 61 par11/07C6OR 61projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Colonial Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-06-02Penn National?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0611/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/06/20265th7/282%33%-0.48
11/07/20263rd25/10%75%+0.75