IvyArcIvyArc
6

Caribbean Clarity

3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 49

Delaware Park · Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f

#8

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength8%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Charles Town 08/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 6f110y 1228/11C6C9 @ Delaware Park 16/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 39 · 5f110y Fas 117 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 39 par16/05C9OR 39C9 @ Delaware Park 29/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 39 · 6f 117 · below its mark29/05/2026 · OR 39 par29/05C9OR 39C9 @ Delaware Park 10/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 45 · 1m 116 · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 45 par10/06C9OR 45C9 @ Delaware Park 04/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 41 · 1m Fm 118 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 41 par4/07C9OR 41projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Delaware Park?7th10th−3
2026-06-10Delaware Park?6th9th−3
2026-05-29Delaware Park?9th12th−3
2026-05-16Delaware Park?4th7th−3
2025-11-08Charles Town?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/1116/0529/0510/064/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength65%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/11/20254th11/486%25%-0.61
16/05/20264th8/158%40%-0.18
29/05/20269th40/10%11%+0.11
10/06/20266th33/10%0%0.00
04/07/20267th40/10%45%+0.45