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2

Lux

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 68

Delaware Park · Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Laurel Park 14/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 6f Gd 12614/05C6C9 @ Laurel Park 19/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 12619/06C9C6 @ Monmouth Park 12/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 64 · 5f110y Fm 123 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 64 par12/07C6OR 64projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Monmouth Park?2nd2nd0
2026-06-19Laurel Park?2nd5th−3
2026-05-14Laurel Park?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0519/0612/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/05/20267th12/137%14%-0.23
19/06/20262nd50/10%83%+0.83
12/07/20262nd6/168%83%+0.15