7
Take Home Gold
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 70
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength22%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 08/11/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 22/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |