2
Lady Patrick's
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 67
Delaware Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 05/07/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 63% | -0.20 |
| 15/08/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 31/10/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 12/02/2026 | 5th | 5/4 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 03/04/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 02/05/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 11% | -0.49 |
| 17/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 26/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |