5
Rules For Three
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 58
Delaware Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength81%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 01/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/03/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/04/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 28/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 20/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |