2
Baby Rasta
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 62
Delaware Park · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 14% | -0.46 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 56% | -0.27 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |