5
Better Day
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 43
Delaware Park · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Lone Star | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-04-25 | Lone Star | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength54%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 14/12/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/12/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/03/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 10/05/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/06/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |