Paintmymasterpeace
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 62
Delaware Park · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-03-07 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-02-04 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 20/12/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 78% | -0.15 |
| 04/02/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 07/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 60% | -0.34 |
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 12/04/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 09/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 29% | -0.57 |