2

Aqua Allegoria

3yo Filly · 10-7

Dieppe · Prix A+ Glass Rouxmesnil (prix Remy Mouquet) Hurdle · 2m 198y

#5

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1248/05C5C0 @ Clairefontaine 27/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 2m198y Ver 14527/07C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-27Clairefontaine?11th11th0
2026-05-08Lyon-Parilly?8th9th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0527/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/05/20268th28/10%50%+0.50
27/07/202611th18/15%17%+0.11