1
Bel Eclat
4yo Gelding · 11-0
Dieppe · Prix Ministere Du Bon Esprit Handicap Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#9
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Clairefontaine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Clairefontaine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Dieppe | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength31%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 09/03/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 56% | -0.23 |
| 09/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 14/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 01/06/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |