3

Belle Vendange

4yo Filly · 11-0

Dieppe · Prix Ministere Du Bon Esprit Handicap Chase · 2m 1f 87y

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Strasbourg 08/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f196y Sft 1438/05C?3 @ Nancy 20/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 14320/0533 @ Dieppe 01/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 1471/063C0 @ Dieppe 10/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 15010/06C?C0 @ Clairefontaine 29/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 2m1f196y Sft 15229/06C?C0 @ Clairefontaine 27/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 14327/07C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-27Clairefontaine?7th7th0
2026-06-29Clairefontaine?1st1st0
2026-06-10Dieppe?10th10th0
2026-06-01Dieppe38th8th0
2026-05-20Nancy32nd2nd0
2026-05-08Strasbourg?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0520/051/0610/0629/0627/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength85%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/05/20265th7/282%60%-0.22
20/05/20262nd5/174%91%+0.17
01/06/20268th7/163%30%-0.33
10/06/202610th11/142%25%-0.17
29/06/20261st18/15%100%+0.95
27/07/20267th10/147%40%-0.07