10

Bergheim

4yo Gelding · 10-3

Dieppe · Prix Ministere Du Bon Esprit Handicap Chase · 2m 1f 87y

#3

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Pau 03/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 2m3f85y Hvy 1473/023C0 @ Dieppe 10/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 14310/07C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Dieppe?2nd2nd0
2026-02-03Pau34th4th0
2026-01-16Pau30

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0210/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/02/20264th22/10%40%+0.40
10/07/20262nd25/10%90%+0.90