11
Ellington Eden
4yo Gelding · 10-2
Dieppe · Prix Ministere Du Bon Esprit Handicap Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#11
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Dieppe | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Nantes | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Fontainebleau | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-31 | Dieppe | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength69%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 07/05/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/05/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 31/08/2025 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 19/11/2025 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 31/03/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/04/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |