6
Master Falcon
4yo Gelding · 10-13
Dieppe · Prix Ministere Du Bon Esprit Handicap Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#2
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Clairefontaine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Auteuil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Fontainebleau | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Compiegne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength38%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 06/11/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 25/12/2025 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 11/03/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 29/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 09/04/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 06/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |
| 22/07/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |