IvyArcIvyArc
2

Musistar

4yo Filly · 11-0

Dieppe · Prix Ministere Du Bon Esprit Handicap Chase · 2m 1f 87y

#1

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

86%

Place Prob

59%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Angers 12/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 2m198y Hvy 14512/0244 @ Dieppe 30/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 14330/044C8 @ Dieppe 18/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 14718/06C8C0 @ Dieppe 10/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 14510/07C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Dieppe?1st1st0
2026-06-18Dieppe?2nd2nd0
2026-04-30Dieppe45th5th0
2026-04-02Auteuil20
2026-02-12Angers45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0230/0418/0610/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/02/20265th7/282%69%-0.12
30/04/20265th14/126%56%+0.29
18/06/20262nd4/179%86%+0.07
10/07/20261st13/891%100%+0.09